Independent candidate Nikos Christodoulides continues to lead by a wide margin ahead of next month’s presidential elections, going by the results of the latest poll commissioned by the Cyprus Broadcasting Corporation (CyBC).
Carried out from December 28 to December 30, the survey polled 1,250 persons aged over 18. It was released late on Thursday evening.
The poll showed that interest in the presidential elections remained at approximately the same levels –67 per cent are ‘interested’ now, compared to 63 per cent in October 2022.
Regarding people’s intention to participate (vote), 85 per cent said definitely/probably, compared to 81 per cent in November 2022, 84 per cent in October 2022.
Gauging how confident people were of their vote, 66 per cent said they were ‘certain’ – unchanged since November. And 23 per cent were uncertain, while 11 per cent offered no opinion either way.
Among those leaning toward a particular candidate, 73 per cent said they were ‘certain’ to vote for Christodoulides, while 26 per cent were ‘uncertain’ about him. For Disy’s Averof Neophytou, the respective numbers stood at 85 per cent and 14 per cent; and for Akel-backed Andreas Mavroyiannis, the figures were 84 per cent and 12 per cent.
Asked to assess the candidates’ attributes, 30 per cent said that Christodoulides is ‘convincing’. Neophytou’s strongest trait was ‘dynamic’ (32 per cent of respondents felt that way), and Mavroyiannis’ prime attribute was that he has ‘integrity’.
On whether the candidates would keep their promises if elected, 22 per cent of respondents thought so of Christodoulides, 20 per cent of Neophytou, and 19 per cent of Mavroyiannis. The numbers for the minor candidates were: Achilleas Demetriades 3 per cent; Christos Christou (Elam) 3 per cent; and Giorgos Colocassides and Constantinos Christofides 1 per cent apiece.
Asked when they typically decide whom to vote for, 50 per cent said ‘well before the elections’, 18 per cent ‘a few weeks before the elections’, 11 per cent ‘a few days before’, and 10 per cent ‘at the last moment, even on election day’. And 11 per cent said they would not cast a vote. Interpreted, the percentage of those already having made up their minds was 68 per cent.
Coming to the survey’s main attraction – whom people intend to vote for – Christodoulides once again led comfortably at 29.5 per cent, trailed by Neophytou at 21.5 per cent and Mavroyiannis at 20.5 per cent.
And asked which candidate they think likeliest to make it through to the second round, 75 per cent said Christodoulides, 64 per cent picked Neophytou, and 43 per cent said Mavroyiannis.
On the second-round scenarios – a staple of surveys – 42.5 per cent would vote for Christodoulides, and 28.5 per cent for Neophytou in that particular pair-up. Here, Christodoulides’ numbers dropped just one per cent since November, whereas Neophytou gained 4.5 per cent.
In a Mavroyiannis versus Christodoulides matchup, the former would get 27 per cent, the latter 45.5 per cent.
And an Neophytou versus Mavroyiannis contest would be a dead heat – 34.5 per cent to 33 per cent.
Lastly, asked who they think will become the next president, regardless of their own personal preferences, exactly half of the respondents said Christodoulides. Just 27 per cent thought Neophytou will be elected, and Mavroyiannis only had a 9 per cent chance.
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